Uncertainty in Economic Analysis and the Economic Analysis of Uncertainty∗
نویسنده
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Numerical modeling of economic uncertainty
Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities, interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple estimates. Fo-cusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alter-native modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.
متن کاملEvaluating How the Islamic Republic of Iran Achieved its Vision Economic Goals by Designing and Computing a Composite Index and Using Monte Carlo Simulation Approach for Uncertainty Analysis
The Islamic Republic of Iran Vision aimed to direct development plans and yearly budgets. As one of the most important part, it includes 13 economic goals for directing economic route of the country for a twenty years period. After 15 years, evaluating how the country achieved to these goals is very important and unfortunately neglected. In this article, considering the different nature of goal...
متن کاملThe impact of uncertainty in economic policies on energy intensity in Iran
The Impact of Uncertainty in Economic Policies on Energy Intensity in Iran Feyzollah Morad MA student of Economics, Department of Economic Development and Planning, Tarbiat Modares University, [email protected] Lotfali Agheli Associate Professor of Economics, Institute of Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, [email protected] Abbas Asari Arani Associate Professor of Economics, Departme...
متن کاملThe Effect of the Economic Uncertainty Index on the Stability of the Health of the Financial System
Background & Aims: Uncertainty is a state in which the knowledge of a person or persons is limited and full knowledge of the state or result that has been achieved or is not possible. Macroeconomic uncertainties create an uncertain environment for investors and make it impossible for investors to make decisions about future investments more efficiently and with more confidence, and they may suf...
متن کاملEconomic uncertainty and its impact on costs of consumption and private sector investment in the Iranian economy
The issue of uncertainty and its economic impact is one of the topics that economic researchers have considered in recent years. In conditions of uncertainty, the decision of economic units to produce, consume and invest, etc., is different from normal conditions. This study aims to determine the index of economic uncertainty for Iran according to the channels of its impact on the economy. Ther...
متن کاملStock Market Uncertainty and the Analysis of Monetary Policy shock
Policy makers impose policies to improve economy circumstance in order to achieve economic goals. However, the consequence of these policies along with the intended goals will also influence expectations, fluctuations, etc., and cause changes in levels of uncertainty. The important role of the stock market in the economy, makes it important to examine its uncertainty and its interaction with mo...
متن کامل